The Week On-chain Mean Reversion Bitcoin has surged back to $94.7k amid optimism surrounding tariff relief, with the market reclaiming key levels and sparking profit-taking. Short-term holders have taken profits, traders shorted the rally, and ETF inflows hit $1.54B – signalling an important sentiment shift behind the move.
The Week On-chain Rethinking Foundations The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain with the restructuring of global trade relations ongoing. In spite of this, the performance of hard assets remains remarkable with Gold surging to a new ATH of $3300 and Bitcoin residing above $80k.
The Week On-chain Tariffs and Turmoil The announcement of Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs sent shock-waves through financial markets, with major macro indexes experiencing a unilateral decline. Digital assets have been no exception, experiencing a broad-based contraction occurring across all sectors.
The Week On-chain Rippling Away Bitcoin prices have continued to slide this week, with signs of seller exhaustion developing but no apparent trend reversal just yet. As a proxy for retail activity, we analyze XRP’s explosive rally as an initial burst of capital inflow stalls, momentum fades, and fragile sentiment raises caution.
The Week On-chain Forging Long-Term Holders Challenging market conditions continue for digital assets, with Bitcoin Short-Term Holders finding themselves under increasing financial pressure. Under the surface, a shift towards Long-Term Holder accumulation appears ongoing, with wealth now transferring back towards price insensitive investors.
The Week On-chain Liquidity Crush The Bitcoin market continues to adjust to its new price range after experiencing a -30% correction. Liquidity conditions are also contracting in both on-chain and futures markets. Additionally, Long-Term Holders remain inactive, reinforcing a picture of a sluggish market and sideways price action.
The Week On-chain Post-ATH Distribution Bitcoin continues to face persistent sell pressure, especially from recent buyers. The asset has seen weak demand and fading accumulation since January. Short-term holders are capitulating, driving STH-SOPR into loss territory, mirroring the August 2024 crash to $49k.
The Week On-chain Violent Volatility The Digital Asset landscape has experienced whipsawing price action and intense local volatility driven by heavy sell-side pressure. The downside price movement has been amplified by an increasingly uncertain economic environment and speculation related to a US Strategic Digital Asset Reserve.
The Week On-chain Bybit Hack Postmortem Bybit’s historic $1.48B hack triggered panic withdrawals and a market-wide sell-off, pushing the price 20% below its ATH. With the market trading 5% below the cost basis of short-term holders, new investors faced severe pain, intensifying their loss realization.
The Week On-chain Falling Tides Bitcoin is trading in the $93k-$97k range, leading to a wider digital asset market cooldown. Capital inflows are weakening, and derivatives activity is declining. Short-term holder accumulation patterns somewhat resemble May 2021, which was a relatively challenging set of market conditions.
The Week On-chain Profiling the Sell-Off The digital asset market has encountered tumultuous waters in recent weeks, with investors experiencing sharp price falls, and locking in substantial losses. The Altcoin space was the worst hit, with a significant decline in valuations. In this report, we analyze the severity of the sell-off.
The Week On-chain A New Mindset The regulatory environment surrounding Bitcoin is constantly changing, and new financial instruments such as derivatives and ETF products continue to develop. In this article, we analyze how the composition of digital asset investors is changing around it.
The Week On-chain Thinking Ahead The current bull market shows several structural similarities to the 2015–2018 cycle. We explore this idea from the perspective of the drawdown profile, price performance, and Realized Cap change. We also address misconceptions about the exchanges and ETF balances.
The Week On-chain Seeking Liquidity Following two months of consolidation, Bitcoin has broken upwards from its rangebound conditions and surged to a new ATH of $109k. In this article, we evaluate the conditions leading into this move to demonstrate signals of impending volatility.
The Week On-chain Challenging Critical Support As the Bitcoin market corrects from the $108k ATH, a significant proportion of froth has come out of the market, whilst demand remains relatively robust. Unrealized losses are primarily held by short-term holders; however, stress levels are relatively modest compared to previous drawdowns.
The Week On-chain Resilience and Synchronicity Bitcoin continues trading above the psychologically important $100k price level, supported by a consistent inflow of capital. Long-Term Holders are capitalizing on this liquidity, taking the opportunity to distribute supply at scale, setting a new ATH in profit realized of $2.1B.
The Week On-chain A Monumental Milestone Bitcoin’s journey from the Genesis Block to $100k per BTC is a historic moment and a new high watermark in adoption. With 19.8M BTC mined, $131T in transfer volume processed, and 1.12B transactions, the $100k price milestone is yet another sign of Bitcoin's resilience.
The Week On-chain Navigating Post-ATH Trends Bitcoin's rally to the $99.4k ATH moved investor holdings to extreme profit levels, resulting in a sharp redistribution of supply. Several risk metrics are elevated and signalling caution, while realized profits and funding rates are starting to cool down, hinting at a period of consolidation.
The Week On-chain Touching Distance Following a flurry of consistent new ATHs, Bitcoin is just a stone's throw away from reaching a price of $100k per coin. Explosive price action tends to result in a significant increase in the unrealized profit of holders, and Long-Term Holders are ramping up their distribution in response.
The Week On-chain Riding the Liquidity Tide Bitcoin continues to relentlessly establish new ATHs, supported by robust capital inflows from both ETFs and the Spot Market, with over $62.9B entering the market over the last 30 days. As the market proceeds to heat up, Long-Term Holder spending begins to rise in tandem.
The Week On-chain Trumping to a New ATH Bitcoin’s rally to a new ATH is driven by strong spot demand and institutional inflows, with over 95% of supply in profit. This article explores on-chain indicators, highlighting robust spot buying momentum, rising ETF AUM, futures premiums, and the potential for sustained gains in this ATH phase.
The Week On-chain Bitcoin Breaks To New ATHs In the wake of the highly anticipated US Presidential Election, Bitcoin has broken to a new ATH of $75.4k. Under the surface, volatility continues to brew across option markets while on-chain capital inflows continue to expand, suggesting a persistent inflow of new demand.
The Week On-chain A Stones Throw The Bitcoin spot price has continued to march higher, trading up to $69k, only 6.8% below the ATH. The price uptick has broken through several critical levels using technical and on-chain inputs. This is one of the first signs of positive price momentum since late June.
The Week On-chain The Eye of the Storm A notable divergence between supply and demand is emerging, with the market being range-bound for over seven months. With low volumes across on-chain and futures markets and a HODLer-dominated environment, the scene is set for heightened volatility in the near future.
The Week On-chain Revisiting the Mean Following a 10% price correction, the Bitcoin market has rebounded back to the $63k level, in an attempt to reclaim the critical Short-Term Holder cost-basis.
