Market Pulse Market Pulse: Week 18 Spot demand and ETF participation are materially improving, Hot Capital Share is ticking higher, and profitability metrics have expanded notably. However, daily active addresses remain suppressed, suggesting organic network engagement is still rebuilding.
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The Week On-chain Mean Reversion Bitcoin has surged back to $94.7k amid optimism surrounding tariff relief, with the market reclaiming key levels and sparking profit-taking. Short-term holders have taken profits, traders shorted the rally, and ETF inflows hit $1.54B – signalling an important sentiment shift behind the move.
Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 16 While the recent rebound to $85K improved short-term sentiment, the market remains vulnerable. Liquidity is thin, profitability is subdued, and ETF flows are cautious. Read more in our weekly Market Pulse.
The Week On-chain Rethinking Foundations The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain with the restructuring of global trade relations ongoing. In spite of this, the performance of hard assets remains remarkable with Gold surging to a new ATH of $3300 and Bitcoin residing above $80k.
Product Supply Mapping: Unlocking On-chain Market Behaviors Supply Mapping is a new on-chain tool that segments token holders by behavior – like conviction buying, profit-taking, and panic selling – revealing investor psychology and market sentiment shifts across hundreds of assets.
Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 15 Bitcoin remains in a fragile state. Weak fundamentals, declining profitability, and soft liquidity make the market vulnerable to macro shocks. Yet, resilience around $80k suggests long-term participants are defending this level – a potentially constructive signal.
The Week On-chain Tariffs and Turmoil The announcement of Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs sent shock-waves through financial markets, with major macro indexes experiencing a unilateral decline. Digital assets have been no exception, experiencing a broad-based contraction occurring across all sectors.
Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 14 Amid looming macro risks such as a potential tariff war, low liquidity and rising hedging demand suggest that downside pressure remains a credible threat unless significant inflows return to the market.
The Week On-chain Rippling Away Bitcoin prices have continued to slide this week, with signs of seller exhaustion developing but no apparent trend reversal just yet. As a proxy for retail activity, we analyze XRP’s explosive rally as an initial burst of capital inflow stalls, momentum fades, and fragile sentiment raises caution.
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Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 13 Despite a short-term bounce, ETF, futures, and on-chain data show weak follow-through. Without stronger liquidity and conviction, the rally risks fading into a broader correction - more relief than the start of a lasting uptrend.
The Week On-chain Forging Long-Term Holders Challenging market conditions continue for digital assets, with Bitcoin Short-Term Holders finding themselves under increasing financial pressure. Under the surface, a shift towards Long-Term Holder accumulation appears ongoing, with wealth now transferring back towards price insensitive investors.
Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 12 Bitcoin could remain susceptible to further downward pressure unless we see a resurgence in liquidity inflows. While some speculative activity persists, the broader market remains defensive.
The Week On-chain Liquidity Crush The Bitcoin market continues to adjust to its new price range after experiencing a -30% correction. Liquidity conditions are also contracting in both on-chain and futures markets. Additionally, Long-Term Holders remain inactive, reinforcing a picture of a sluggish market and sideways price action.
Product Tracking Early Token Holder Behavior Early token holders often control a large share of supply, making their buying and selling decisions key to market trends. This analysis explores Early Holder Balance, Herfindahl Index, NUPL, and Cost Basis Distribution to help traders anticipate price tops and manage risk effectively.
Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 11 Bitcoin’s market structure reflects growing risk aversion, with ETF outflows, weakening futures, and declining on-chain activity. Rising options hedging and falling profitability signal investor distress. Without renewed liquidity, downside pressure may persist despite spot market resilience.
The Week On-chain Post-ATH Distribution Bitcoin continues to face persistent sell pressure, especially from recent buyers. The asset has seen weak demand and fading accumulation since January. Short-term holders are capitulating, driving STH-SOPR into loss territory, mirroring the August 2024 crash to $49k.
Product Featured Is the Metaverse Dead? On-Chain Data Tells a Different Story Despite a prolonged downtrend in Metaverse tokens, CBD data reveals that major players continue to dollar-cost average (DCA) into these assets.
Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 10 Bitcoin markets diverge amid SBR uncertainty. Spot and ETF demand rebound, but derivatives and on-chain activity decline. Futures OI drops, CVD stays negative, and realized profits shrink. Market shows cautious buy-the-dip behavior, awaiting clear catalysts.
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The Week On-chain Violent Volatility The Digital Asset landscape has experienced whipsawing price action and intense local volatility driven by heavy sell-side pressure. The downside price movement has been amplified by an increasingly uncertain economic environment and speculation related to a US Strategic Digital Asset Reserve.
Product Featured Capitulation Metrics: Using Cost Basis Distribution to Derive the On-Chain Bottom Signal Market bottoms often form during extreme distress, when forced selling peaks and exhausted investors capitulate. Using Cost Basis Distributing to track supply shifts and sell-offs in assets like Uniswap, Maker, and AIOZ, we arrive at an on-chain bottom signal.
Market Pulse BTC Market Pulse: Week 9 Bitcoin markets weaken post-Bybit hack, with $2.91B ETF outflows, -$461M Spot CVD, and -$1.48B in Perp CVD. Futures OI declines, leverage unwinds, and profitability drops (NUPL at 0.52). Liquidity is thinning, raising downside risk without renewed demand.
The Week On-chain Bybit Hack Postmortem Bybit’s historic $1.48B hack triggered panic withdrawals and a market-wide sell-off, pushing the price 20% below its ATH. With the market trading 5% below the cost basis of short-term holders, new investors faced severe pain, intensifying their loss realization.
