Lacking Conviction Bitcoin’s struggle below key cost-basis levels reflects fading demand and continued long-term holder distribution. While volatility has cooled and options positioning looks balanced, the market now hinges on the Fed meeting expectations, and any hawkish surprise could reignite volatility.
The Altcoin Vector #26 This week's professional-grade insights into crypto's most volatile frontier. Identify high-conviction setups across altcoin markets with this exclusive weekly report.
BTC Market Pulse: Week 44 In sum, the market is stabilizing. Selling pressure has eased, leverage has reset, and profitability is improving, but participation and on-chain activity remain muted.
A Market Hedged in Fear Bitcoin trades below key cost basis levels, signalling demand exhaustion and fading momentum. Long-term holders are selling into strength, while the options market turns defensive, with rising put demand and elevated volatility, marking a cautious phase before any sustainable recovery.
The Altcoin Vector #25 This week's professional-grade insights into crypto's most volatile frontier. Identify high-conviction setups across altcoin markets with this exclusive weekly report.
BTC Market Pulse: Week 43 Looking at last week's data, a combination of signals points to a market shifting into protection mode, with traders prioritizing capital preservation over directional bets.
An Early Black Friday Bitcoin’s rally to $126.1k reversed amid macro stress and a $19B futures deleveraging, one of the largest in history. With ETF inflows weakening and volatility spiking, the market is in a reset phase, characterized by flushed leverage, cautious sentiment, and recovery hinging on renewed demand.
The Altcoin Vector #24 This week's professional-grade insights into crypto's most volatile frontier. Identify high-conviction setups across altcoin markets with this exclusive weekly report.
The Bitcoin Vector #25 Created in collaboration with Willy Woo, this report offers a Bitcoin-only perspective, combining Swissblock’s framework with Willy’s on-chain analytics – focused on sentiment, structure, and liquidity.
BTC Market Pulse: Week 42 The crypto market experienced one of the most severe deleveraging events in history this week.
The Uptober Breakout Bitcoin broke through the $114k–$117k supply zone to reach a new all-time high near $126k, backed by strong ETF inflows and renewed mid-tier accumulation. While on-chain and spot signals remain constructive, rising leverage and crowded call positioning suggest growing short-term fragility.
The Altcoin Vector #23 This week's professional-grade insights into crypto's most volatile frontier. Identify high-conviction setups across altcoin markets with this exclusive weekly report.
The Bitcoin Vector #24 Created in collaboration with Willy Woo, this report offers a Bitcoin-only perspective, combining Swissblock’s framework with Willy’s on-chain analytics – focused on sentiment, structure, and liquidity.
BTC Market Pulse: Week 41 Bitcoin has surged to a new all-time high near $125.5K, driven by renewed spot demand, record ETF inflows, and strong flows across derivatives markets.
Holding The Line Bitcoin continues to defend key on-chain support at the short-term holder cost basis, while ETFs and cooling LTH supply offer stability. Options markets reset post-expiry, with OI rebuilding, volatility easing, and flows tilting toward cautious Q4 upside.
The Altcoin Vector #22 This week's professional-grade insights into crypto's most volatile frontier. Identify high-conviction setups across altcoin markets with this exclusive weekly report.
The Bitcoin Vector #23 Created in collaboration with Willy Woo, this report offers a Bitcoin-only perspective, combining Swissblock’s framework with Willy’s on-chain analytics – focused on sentiment, structure, and liquidity.
BTC Market Pulse: Week 40 Bitcoin traded above the cost basis of short-term holders this past week, with price fluctuations centered around $111k. Spot market momentum softened as the 14-day RSI eased and net selling pressure declined, reflected in stronger Spot CVD.
From Rally to Correction Bitcoin shows signs of exhaustion after the FOMC rally. Long-term holders have realized 3.4M BTC in profits, while ETF inflows slowed. With spot and futures under stress, the short-term holder cost basis at $111k is the key level to hold or risk deeper cooling.
The Altcoin Vector #21 This week's professional-grade insights into crypto's most volatile frontier. Identify high-conviction setups across altcoin markets with this exclusive weekly report.
BTC Market Pulse: Week 39 Bitcoin rallied to $117k in anticipation of a Fed rate cut last week, before retreating to $115k under renewed selling pressure.
Post-Cut Patience Bitcoin trades above 115.2k with 95% of supply in profit after the FOMC rally. Futures show short squeezes and options open interest hit a record 500k BTC ahead of the September 26 expiry. Holding above 115.2k is key while a drop risks a move back toward 105.5k.
