The Week On-chain Whale Watching Whale entities for Bitcoin are often cited as key parties that can have an outsized influence on price performance. In this edition, we isolate out Whale activity, which has seen a dramatic uptick over recent months, and develop a suite of tools to track their behavior.
The Week On-chain Choppy and Sideways Despite BTC setting a temporary yearly price high of $31.7k, the Bitcoin market remains constrained within an extremely tight trading range. Several metrics indicate a slow and steady capital inflow, with many resembling the choppy market conditions seen in the 2016 and 2019-20 periods.
The Week On-chain Stuck in the Middle Bitcoin prices have reached the $30k 'mid-point' of the 2021-22 cycle, with several metrics approaching levels associated with the 're-accumulation period' seen in past cycles. Inscriptions are cooling off, however monetary transactions are picking up steam once again.
Finance Bridge Finance Bridge: Edition #2 Finance Bridge deciphers cryptocurrency trends for institutional investors using on-chain data. This edition dives into the concept of Realised Profit and Loss in the on-chain context, explores Market Momentum through its lens, and addresses crucial Risk Vectors of regulatory uncertainties.
The Week On-chain The Surge in Liquid Staking Since the Ethereum Shanghai upgrade, a very clear market preference for liquid staking tokens has emerged. Lido's stETH maintains an impressive dominance, with DeFi capital flows suggesting it has become a preferred collateral asset.
The Week On-chain How Many Bitcoin Are For Sale? With a gold rush of applications for a Bitcoin ETF filed this week, a key question is, how many Bitcoin are active and available for sale? In this report, we try to measure the available supply, and assess how demand impacted valuations in past cycles.
The Week On-chain A Volatile Road to Nowhere Volatility, volumes, and realized values are at multi-year lows, indicating that Bitcoin investor apathy is firmly in play. However, under the surface, HODLers continue their classic slow and steady accumulation, with the halving now less than 1yr away.
The Week On-chain Under Pressure: The SEC Charges Binance and Coinbase The US regulatory environment continues hostilities this week, with the SEC charging Binance and Coinbase for securities violations. In this edition, we assess the investor response from the lens of exchange inflows, and which investor cohorts panicked, and which stayed calm.
Finance Bridge Finance Bridge: Edition #1 Finance Bridge aids institutional investors in understanding the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market and empowers them to make informed decisions that drive alpha. This issue explores Bitcoin's Market Momentum, unveils key Risk Vectors, and demystifies the concept of 'Payload' in onchain analysis.
Ethereum and DeFi Risk-Off Capital Rotation While digital asset prices have remained stagnant in recent months, several indicators point towards a risk-off rotation of capital taking place beneath the surface. Volumes have dried up, and investors are increasingly expressing a preference for stablecoin capital.
Bitcoin Analysis & Research Buying High and Selling Low: The Long-Term Holder Learning Curve The age old market adage is to buy low, and sell high. However, a great many new Bitcoiner's do the exact opposite, riding heavy losses from the market peak, only to capitulate at the very bottom. In this piece, we visualize this phenomena, as it happens, on-chain.
Ethereum and DeFi Dealing With The DeFi Downtrend DeFi on the Ethereum is a centrepiece of the ecosystem, with DeFi protocols being a destination for tokens, stablecoins and NFTs alike. However, DeFi tokens remain in a multi-year, and relentless bearish trend. In this piece, we uncover why this may be.
The Week On-chain Seeking Equilibrium With prices tight, and the volatility spring coiled, the Bitcoin market looks increasingly ready to move out of the current equilibrium. As Long-Term Holder spending ticks marginally higher, we present a series of on-chain tools to help navigate the volatile road ahead.
The Week On-chain Quiet But Confident The Bitcoin market has traded within an extremely tight price range this week, whilst on-chain volumes have been extremely light, hovering around cyclical lows. Meanwhile, large swathes of the coin supply remain dormant in investor wallets with supply in several key age bands hitting all-time-highs.
The Week On-chain A Bitcoin Blockspace Boom Bitcoin blockspace experienced a historically significant inflow of demand last week, as speculators rushed to mint BRC-20 tokens via text inscriptions. This resulted in immense fee pressure, driving miner fee revenue towards ATHs, and surpassing the 6.25 BTC block subsidy for the fifth time.
Ethereum and DeFi Post-Shanghai: What Really Happened We previously simulated the potential economic outcomes of ETH withdrawals enabled by the Shapella upgrade. In this edition, we will examine what actually happened to the 1.55M withdrawn ETH, and how stake has reshuffled between stakers, staking service providers, and sell-side pressure.
The Week On-chain Ancient Supply, Mt Gox, and US Government Coins This week, the market experienced a sharp sell-off, following what turned out to be false rumours related to distributions by the Mt Gox Trustee, and the US Government. Add to this the revival of 3.2k ancient Bitcoin, and the market found itself amidst serious volatility.
The Week On-chain The Allure of Profit After an incredible quarter of price performance, Bitcoin price action has taken a breather. In this edition, we evaluate participant spending behavior to assess the markets conviction towards the prevailing trend.
The Week On-chain Is the Bitcoin Bear Behind Us? Bitcoin has posted the strongest price performance since the market all-time-high, with several on-chain indicators signalling strength in support. In this edition, we assess whether the Bitcoin Bear may be behind us, and if a robust recovery is underway.
Ethereum and DeFi Simulating Shanghai Sell-side: Investigating the Ethereum Unlock The highly anticipated Shanghai/Capella hard fork is scheduled to take place on 12-April-2023, which enables withdrawals of staked ETH. In this piece, we establish cohorts of stakers, and assess the potential sell-side pressure which may occur due to the unlock event.
The Week On-chain The Binance Stablecoin Shuffle With Binance firmly in the cross-hairs of US regulators this week, we investigate how the market has responded by deep diving into net coin flows through the exchange. We also assess the supply dynamics of Bitcoin, to gauge the shaking of holder confidence.
Product Backtesting in Workbench Discover Workbench's new backtesting suite and take your investment strategy to the next level. Test and compare trading hypotheses, and evaluate risk and performance with metrics like drawdown and Sharpe ratio. Explore basic and advanced trading strategy examples, including on-chain indicators.
The Week On-chain The Price of Time After several weeks of out-performance by Bitcoin prices, the market is taking a breather. Within this consolidation, we will gauge investor confidence in the uptrend using a suite of on-chain tools, ranging from exchange flows, to profit taking, and coin holding times.
Bitcoin Analysis & Research Estimating the Cost of Bitcoin Production The Bitcoin difficulty adjustment is one of the most remarkable of Satoshi's innovations, creating a system that autonomously seeks equilibrium in the mining sector. In this article, we estimate the cost of production, and derive several metrics describing the cyclical nature of the mining market.
The Week On-chain Bitcoin Shifts Up A Gear Bitcoin has out-performed this week, rallying 35.8% against a backdrop of challenging conditions for the traditional financial and banking system. In this edition, we explore how Bitcoin appears to be shifting up a gear, and rallying out of deep bear market territory.
