Testing The Range Bands Bitcoin prices have rebounded strongly, rallying over $68k and catalyzing an uptick in perpetual futures activity. The appreciation in price has also provided much-needed relief for the Short-Term Holder cohort, with 75% of their coins now held in profit.
Surviving the Sell-Off The Bitcoin market recently absorbed over 48k BTC in sell-side sourced from the German Government. With Mt Gox distributions also on the horizon, we examine these major sell-side forces, as well as the role ETFs have on price action.
Bulls Under Pressure Following several months of sideways price action, Bitcoin has experienced its deepest correction since late 2022, trading below the 200DMA, and putting a significant number of Short-Term Holders into an unrealized loss.
Grounding Through Confluence The Bitcoin market is in an interesting spot, with the average coin still up 2x, whilst most Short-Term Holders are underwater. A multitude of volatility measures are also heavily compressed, suggesting a larger move is on the horizon.
Sizing Up Diamond Hands As Bitcoin struggles to reclaim the recent ATH, we investigate the Long and Short-Term cohorts contribution to the supply and demand side. We also leverage the new breakdown metrics to evaluate the spending behavior and market influence of differing subsets of Long-Term investors.
Establishing Equilibrium Despite choppy price action, the unrealized profit of Bitcoin investors remains constructive. However, volumes across all market facets are declining markedly as an equilibrium between demand and sell-side forces is established.
Breakdown Metrics Applied: Identifying Local Bottoms in a Bull Market Learn about how to apply our new suite of metrics to better identify local bottoms in a bull market and start applying these insights in your trading strategies.
Dissecting Divergences Despite impressive US ETF inflows, a market-neutral Cash-and-Carry trade appears to be subduing buy-side pressure, requiring non-arbitrage demand to further stimulate price action. Alongside this, we explore the divergence between declining active addresses and surging transaction counts.
Room to Grow After months of apathy and sideways price action, the first glimmers of speculative activity is beginning to re-appear. The market responded to a false alarm regarding the distribution of Mt.Gox supply, however this offers a lens into how we can consider these events using onchain data.
Primer on Automated Market Making and Uniswap Decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as Uniswap, are a fundamental building block of the crypto-financial system. These platforms enable users to trade cryptocurrencies directly with each other, or via pools of liquidity, eliminating the need for a counterparty or a centralized entity to execute the trade. In this article, we will
Market Making on Uniswap: An Analytical Approach - Part III Classifying Uniswap's Liquidity Providers and Their Strategies Introduction The introduction of concentrated liquidity in Uniswap V3 has granted market makers greater flexibility and opportunity to manage their positions. However, it has also increased competition among Liquidity Providers, who can now compete by using different market-making strategies. Additionally, it
Market Making on Uniswap: An Analytical Approach - Part II Understanding Liquidity Supply and Demand Dynamics on Uniswap Introduction The introduction of concentrated liquidity in Uniswap V3 has given market makers more freedom and opportunity to manage their positions. It has also made the competitive landscape more challenging, and thus the decision-making process has become substantially more complex for selecting
Market Making on Uniswap: An Analytical Approach - Part I A Breakdown of Uniswap's Protocol Activities Introduction One of the fundamental building blocks within the cryptocurrency ecosystem is decentralized exchanges (DEXs). These platforms enable users to trade cryptocurrencies directly with each other, or via liquidity pools, eliminating the need for a counterparty or a centralized entity to execute
The Calm Bull Residing just shy of the ATH, Bitcoin continues to consolidate, with long-term investors beginning to re-accumulate coins for the first time since Dec 2023. Alongside this, a historic first tranche of Ethereum spot ETFs have been approved in the US, seeing a +20% surge in the ETH price.
A Macro Reset Bitcoin markets have experienced a cool down after several months of intense distribution pressure. Whilst capital inflows remain modest, the lightening of sell-side, and compression of volatility suggest a bigger move could be on the horizon.
Identifying Seller Exhaustion Across Multiple Timeframes Using our new Breakdown Metrics, we are now able to discretely isolate points of severe unrealized loss, and investor capitulation. In this article, we introduce a new framework to assess seller exhaustion across multiple timeframes and investor cohorts.
Finance Bridge: Post-Halving Blues In our May 2024 Finance Bridge, we look at Bitcoin's halving and recent market self-off, Ethereum's staking debates, and key trends, providing insights about the market direction for institutional traders.
Glassnode Spotlights: Ethereum's Evolving Ecosystem - Staking, DeFi, and Derivative Markets The third part of our Glassnode Spotlights series, presenting the most interesting and actionable insights from the Coinbase x Glassnode Q2 Guide to Crypto Markets, explores Ethereum's Evolving Ecosystem - Staking, DeFi, and Derivative Markets.
Speculatory Divergence There has been a growing divergence in performance between Bitcoin and Ethereum during the 2023-23 cycle thus far. This has manifested as weaker price performance for ETH, and can be explained by an overall weaker capital rotation trend, especially relative to past cycles and ATH breaks.
Key Glassnode Metrics for Post-Halving Market Dynamics This article analyzes market shifts post-Bitcoin halving, focusing on the impact of increased transaction fees and stable mining operations. It discusses how traders must adapt to new revenue models shaped by lower block rewards and transaction-based income.
Surviving Bull Drawdowns As Bitcoin continues consolidating, we investigate which cohort of investors are contributing the most to sell-side activity. We also use our new Breakdown metric suite to build a set of rules for tracking local market lows during corrections.
Next Step in the Evolution of On-Chain Analysis: New, Granular Cohorts for Key On-Chain Metrics Learn about our new suite of metrics and its benefits for your analysis of the digital asset market and applicability to your trading strategies.
The Fourth Halving The fourth Bitcoin Halving has occurred, leading to a 50% reduction in supply inflation and an inherent increase in issuance scarcity. In this edition, we explore the evolution of the Bitcoin network across Epochs with respect to price performance, and fundamental network metrics.
Glassnode Spotlights: Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Their Impacts The second part of our Glassnode Spotlights series, presenting the most interesting and actionable insights from the Coinbase x Glassnode Q2 Guide to Crypto Markets, explores how spot Bitcoin ETFs are reshaping the well-established market dynamics.
Glassnode Spotlights: Bitcoin Halving and Its Implications In the Glassnode Spotlight series, we explore the most interesting and actionable insights from the Coinbase x Glassnode Q2 Guide to Crypto Markets. The first part is focused on the 4th Bitcoin halving and its impacts.
