The Price of Time After several weeks of out-performance by Bitcoin prices, the market is taking a breather. Within this consolidation, we will gauge investor confidence in the uptrend using a suite of on-chain tools, ranging from exchange flows, to profit taking, and coin holding times.
Estimating the Cost of Bitcoin Production The Bitcoin difficulty adjustment is one of the most remarkable of Satoshi's innovations, creating a system that autonomously seeks equilibrium in the mining sector. In this article, we estimate the cost of production, and derive several metrics describing the cyclical nature of the mining market.
Bitcoin Shifts Up A Gear Bitcoin has out-performed this week, rallying 35.8% against a backdrop of challenging conditions for the traditional financial and banking system. In this edition, we explore how Bitcoin appears to be shifting up a gear, and rallying out of deep bear market territory.
Introducing Point-in-Time Data: Addressing the Mutability of On-chain Metrics We discuss when and how quickly on-chain metrics at Glassnode get updated and analyze the impact and magnitude of data updates. Further, we introduce a broad set of point-in-time metrics that do not suffer from look-ahead bias, making them the ideal candidates for applications in backtesting.
The Shrimp Supply Sink: Revisiting the Distribution of Bitcoin Supply The supply distribution of Bitcoin continues to be a topic of great interest, for analysis of capital flows, and also for observing behaviors of investor cohorts. In this piece, we break down the BTC supply by wallet size, and explore how coins disperse over time.
Three Fallen Banks After one of the most consequential weeks of 2023, the digital asset industry is short three crypto friendly banking institutions in the US. However the principle investor response thus far appears to be a seeking safety in the most trustless major assets BTC and ETH.
Market Meets Psychological Resistance Bitcoin prices have been rejected from a series of psychological on-chain levels, related both to Older hands from the 2021-22 cycle and also for the Whale cohort. Profit-taking and capital flows have started to take place, although they remain low by historical standards.
February 2023 Product Updates The start of 2023 has been explosive for the digital assets landscape, with Bitcoin recording a 41% move upwards YTD, as well as significant regulatory challenges developing in the USA. We have also seen the unexpected phenomena of Ordinals and Inscriptions arise on the Bitcoin blockchain, sparking healthy debates regarding
NFT Trading Professionalizes Despite bearish sentiment, and an overhang of regulations, the application layer of Ethereum continues to flourish. The NFT market is experiencing great competition, with new marketplace Blur taking market share from leader OpenSea, driven by a strategy focused on traders and liquidity.
Mastering the MVRV Ratio The MVRV Ratio is one of the most popular and widely used on-chain metrics, however, much of the power of MVRV is rarely put to use. In this paper, we will explore how MVRV can be supercharged to find cycle extremes, identify market trends, and get advanced warning of sell-side distribution.
An Investor Turning Point Despite continued regulatory pressure on digital assets exerted by the US, Bitcoin prices still rallied above $25k, and Inscriptions breached 100k total. Meanwhile, investor behavior on-chain appears to be reaching a turning point, hinting at a new cycle.
Ordinal Theory and the Rise of Bitcoin Inscriptions Recent weeks have seen an very unexpected trend emerge on the Bitcoin network, being the permanent and immutable inscription of data, directly into the Bitcoin blockchain. Data files that have been inscribed range from images, to audio clips, and even a version of the video game Doom. This event has
The Emergence of Ordinals The digital asset market has experienced its first significant pullback of the year, alongside news of heavy US regulatory moves, and SEC crackdowns. Simultaneously, the emergence of Ordinals and Inscriptions on Bitcoin is creating a new, and unexpected demand for blockspace.
Shifting Tides Following an explosive month of volatile price action, Bitcoin is consolidating above the on-chain cost-basis of several cohorts. This puts the average BTC holder into a regime of unrealized profit, and demonstrates a potential turning of the macro market tides is underway.
Short Squeezes and Spot Demand Bitcoin markets have seen the strongest monthly price performance since Oct-2021, fuelled by both historic spot demand, and a sequence of short squeezes. In this edition, we explore the dynamics taking place in both derivatives markets, and the spot exchanges.
An Opportunity, or a Trap? The recent market rally has pushed BTC prices above $23k, and has surprised many investors. However, alongside higher prices, comes an increased motivation for holders and miners to take exit liquidity, especially after the prolonged and painful bear of 2022.
Ten Indicators for Tracking a Bear Market Recovery Identifying cycle changes is no easy feat, and there remains no single silver bullet to accomplish this task. In this report, we explore a suite of ten indicators which provide a useful toolbox for navigating these later stages of Bitcoin bear markets.
Is Bitcoin Back? After one of the least volatile months in history, Bitcoin has seen an explosive rally back above $21k. This puts the average BTC holder, and mining operation back into the black, making this rally stand out from all those seen in 2022.
A Volatility Slumber The digital asset market has opened the new year...by staying asleep. Realized volatility for the two major assets has fallen to extreme lows. Such periods have historically preceded explosive market moves, with past examples both cutting asset valuations in half, and triggering new bull markets.
Product Update: December 2022 We begin by wishing all our readers a very happy New Year from the Glassnode Team! We hope you had a refreshing break over the holidays and hope you are as excited as we are for 2023.
2022 The Year On-chain As the chaotic, volatile, and financially brutal year of 2022 comes to a close, we explore the state of play across Bitcoin, Ethereum and stablecoin markets. This year in review will be the final edition for the year, and we look forward to returning for an exciting 2023.
Product Update: November 2022 November was a chaotic month for the industry, with the shock waves of FTX still echoing through the space. However, out of this event has launched a new initiative by exchanges for Proof-of-Reserves to enhance transparency. We are proud to announce our new Proof-of-Reserves metric suite and dashboard, free for
A Capital Reset In the wake of one of the largest deleveraging events in digital asset history, the Bitcoin Realized Cap has declined such that all capital inflows since May 2021, have now been flushed out. There is an associated uptick in on-chain activity, however it lacks substantial volume follow through.
Introducing Proof-of-Reserve Exchange Metrics We introduce an array of proof-of-reserve metrics to easily monitor the balances of exchanges' on-chain reserves held in self-reported addresses.
The Character of Capitulation As the dust settles after the FTX debacle, a key question is whether the sell-off can be better characterized as a simple continuation of the bearish trend, or instead a trigger of a deeper psychological shift amongst investors.
