Conviction Through Confluence
After a month of consolidation around the $20k zone, Bitcoin prices have experienced a much awaited relief rally. Momentum in the short term is favorable, however remains weighed down by longer-term macro indicators that time may be required to form a firm foundation.
After a month of consolidation, Bitcoin prices experienced a long awaited relief rally, closing 9% above the weekly open. Price action opened at $20,781, rallied into a peak of $24.179, before pulling back towards the highs of the consolidation range over the weekend.
In this edition, we will assess the sustainability of the current market rally through the following concepts:
- Assess price zones of interest from supply concentrations, technical, and on-chain pricing models.
- Evaluate the market reaction to many metrics reaching statistically significant over-correction.
- Gauge the strength of the upwards move by assessing confluence through momentum oscillators (MRGO and moving averages).
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